Netanyahu's 44.5% share reflects his Likud party's performance as the largest single list in the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with his right-wing bloc projected around 53-56 seats despite falling short of the 61-seat majority needed. Traders price in his advantage in coalition talks and caretaker status during negotiations, bolstered by strong Jewish voter support and the fragmented opposition. Eizenkot's 24.4% stems from his Yashar party's strong showing and centrist security credentials as the leading alternative, yet his bloc trails and faces barriers to forming a government without Arab party backing, which several parties have ruled out. Lower probabilities for Bennett, Lieberman, and others track their smaller party seat projections and limited paths to leading a coalition under Israel's proportional representation system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu 45%
Gadi Eizenkot 28.4%
Naftali Bennett 3.7%
Avigdor Lieberman 2.3%
Source: polymarket.foo
$80,569,206 Vol.
$80,569,206 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
Benjamin Netanyahu
45%
Gadi Eizenkot
28%
Naftali Bennett
4%
Avigdor Lieberman
2%
Yossi Cohen
1%
Yair Lapid
<1%
Israel Katz
<1%
Amir Ohana
<1%
Yair Golan
<1%
Itamar Ben Gvir
<1%
Nir Barkat
<1%
Gilad Erdan
<1%
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Netanyahu's 44.5% share reflects his Likud party's performance as the largest single list in the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with his right-wing bloc projected around 53-56 seats despite falling short of the 61-seat majority needed. Traders price in his advantage in coalition talks and caretaker status during negotiations, bolstered by strong Jewish voter support and the fragmented opposition. Eizenkot's 24.4% stems from his Yashar party's strong showing and centrist security credentials as the leading alternative, yet his bloc trails and faces barriers to forming a government without Arab party backing, which several parties have ruled out. Lower probabilities for Bennett, Lieberman, and others track their smaller party seat projections and limited paths to leading a coalition under Israel's proportional representation system.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward t...
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward t...
Market Opened: Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET
Volume
$80,569,206End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Benjamin Netanyahu·Yes
Amount
$
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