New Prediction Markets & Live Odds 2026

Which party will win the House in 2028?

Democratic Party

66%

Yes66%No35%

Republican Party

28%

Yes28%No72%

NEW

Next ECB President?

Pablo Hernández de Cos

35%

Yes35%No65%

Klaas Knot

29%

Yes29%No72%

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Israel tourism plunges below 40K by January?

22%

chance

Yes

NEW

House Minority Leader of the next Congress?

Jim Jordan

42%

Yes42%No59%

Mike Johnson

28%

Yes28%No73%

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Senate Combo: Michigan, Texas, Ohio

Dems sweep

Yes64%No36%

Reps MI, Dems TX & OH

Yes43%No58%

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Senate Combo: Michigan and Texas

Dems sweep

57%

Yes57%No43%

Reps MI, Dems TX

16%

Yes16%No84%

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Senate Combo: Michigan and Ohio

Dems sweep

57%

Yes57%No43%

Dems MI, Reps OH

12%

Yes12%No88%

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Senate Combo: Ohio and Texas

Dems sweep

67%

Yes67%No34%

Reps sweep

19%

Yes19%No81%

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'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?

45k+

95%

Yes95%No5%

55k+

68%

Yes68%No33%

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What will Trump say during his Midterm rally in Florida?

Crazy 7+ times

63%

Yes63%No37%

Obama / Kamala / Biden 12+ times

63%

Yes63%No38%

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Democratic Senate odds on November 2?

>68%

47%

Yes47%No54%

66-68%

36%

Yes36%No64%

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Weekly

Democratic Senate odds on November 1?

>68%

Yes47%No54%

62-64%

40%

Yes40%No60%

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Weekly

Democratic Senate odds on October 31?

>68%

45%

Yes45%No55%

66-68%

Yes45%No56%

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Weekly

Democratic Senate odds on October 30?

66-68%

65%

Yes65%No36%

>68%

43%

Yes43%No57%

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Weekly

Gemini Carbon released on...?

On or prior to October 31

12%

Yes12%No88%

November 5

Yes5%No95%

NEW

$13K Vol.

Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?

60%+

89%

Yes89%No11%

50%+

86%

Yes86%No15%

NEW

$33K Vol.

New Anthropic model released before IPO?

83%

chance

Yes

NEW

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

November 5

Yes6%No94%

November 1

Yes5%No95%

NEW

Monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released before Anthropic IPO?

77%

chance

Yes

NEW

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Rank Debut?

Top 10

96%

Yes96%No4%

Top 5

88%

Yes88%No13%

NEW