Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Troy Jackson leading Republican incumbent Susan Collins by roughly two points among likely voters, with the latest CNN/SSRS survey from late October placing Jackson at 49% and Collins at 45%. Maine’s Democratic-leaning electorate and ranked-choice voting have amplified trader focus on turnout among independents and early voters, while Collins has emphasized her record of securing federal projects and moderating certain administration policies on tariffs and energy costs. Jackson has highlighted Collins’ alignment with broader Republican priorities in key Senate votes. These dynamics, combined with heavy outside spending and the race’s status as one of few competitive Senate contests, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaine Senate Election Winner
Source: polymarket.foo
Troy Jackson (D)65%
Susan Collins (R)36%
$2,943,470 Vol.
$2,943,470 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Troy Jackson (D)
65%
Susan Collins (R)
36%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger Troy Jackson leading Republican incumbent Susan Collins by roughly two points among likely voters, with the latest CNN/SSRS survey from late October placing Jackson at 49% and Collins at 45%. Maine’s Democratic-leaning electorate and ranked-choice voting have amplified trader focus on turnout among independents and early voters, while Collins has emphasized her record of securing federal projects and moderating certain administration policies on tariffs and energy costs. Jackson has highlighted Collins’ alignment with broader Republican priorities in key Senate votes. These dynamics, combined with heavy outside spending and the race’s status as one of few competitive Senate contests, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$2,943,470End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Maine Senate Election WinnerTroy Jackson (D)·Yes
Amount
$
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