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Ohio Senate Election Winner

Polymarket
NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct20%35%50%65%80%
Source: polymarket.foo
Sherrod Brown (D)67%
Jon Husted (R)32%

$2,061,123 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Sherrod Brown holds a modest edge in recent polling averages for the November 3 Ohio Senate special election, driven by his name recognition as a former senator and voter focus on cost-of-living pressures in a state where national economic sentiment has softened. Recent surveys from Suffolk, Fox News, and others show Brown ahead by roughly three points on average, with advantages among independents, women, and suburban voters, while Husted, the appointed Republican incumbent, trails in favorability. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing appears to weigh these trends and Brown's campaign emphasis on policy experience more heavily than some forecasting models that rate the race a toss-up. Late developments including third-party spending and final-week turnout efforts could still shift the outcome in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any af...
Volume
$2,061,123
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET

Beware of external links.

buyrightbake
buyrightbake
Finally getting some volume in the Margin of Victory markets
Giorgio2
ok it's Ohio... But look at the polls
Magician5342
@Giorgio2
Jon Husted acts like he is not the incumbent, disgusting
bernardbulletin
bernardbulletin
unlike in Michigan, Maine, and Texas, it's hard to see the bull case for Republicans in Ohio. if this race was a tossup a year ago, it has probably drifted into the D column since then.
AnEggplant
AnEggplant
LMAO even Trashfalgar has Brown ahead
If Sherrod Brown drops out, how does his contract resolve?
kimjongun123
@SnapElection...
It's always the party not the candidate. He can't drop out and be replaced anyway, the deadline passed on Wednesday in Ohio. And why would he?
Snarfsnarfsnarf
Communism vs Capitalism Ohio decides in this death match

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ohio Senate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sherrod Brown (D)" at 67%, followed by "Jon Husted (R)" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ohio Senate Election Winner" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ohio Senate Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ohio Senate Election Winner" is "Sherrod Brown (D)" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Husted (R)" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ohio Senate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
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Ohio Senate Election WinnerSherrod Brown (D)·Yes

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    Ohio Senate Election Winner Predictions & Odds 2026 | Polymarket