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Elections·Global Elections

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Polymarket
FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOct0%25%50%75%100%
Source: polymarket.foo
Iliana Iotova75%
Аndrey Gyurov25%

$2,479,907 Vol.

Incumbent Iliana Iotova holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the November 1 runoff, reflecting her position as acting president backed by Prime Minister Rumen Radev’s Progressive Bulgaria party, which commands a parliamentary majority. Her first-round performance of roughly 35 percent edged Andrey Gyurov’s 32 percent despite record-low turnout near 23 percent, suggesting stronger base mobilization potential in the second round. Gyurov, the pro-Western reformist challenger and former caretaker prime minister, benefits from opposition support but must consolidate votes from eliminated candidates amid foreign-policy divides over Russia’s war in Ukraine. A scheduled televised debate on October 29 offers the final major catalyst before the runoff.

Volume
$2,479,907
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.cik.bg/

Resolver

0x2f5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Bezobrazov
Bezobrazov
С парите на ПиПи джендита ще купя супичка на някой руский солдат да е сит като дойде да ни освободи един ден.
bagsbunny
bagsbunny
so yotova and radev are using the rhetoric for low iq people that if the opps win, the country is going to war in Ukraine and transsexuals will flood the country; sounds like the past election in Romania
bagsbunny
bagsbunny
is there any mobilisation for Gyurov in Bulgaria or y'all just don't care?
IvanST
Категорична победа за Йотова. Гюров изчерпа потенциала. 500к ППетроханци винаги ще отидат да гласуват, ако ще за домоуправител да е. Абсурд да съберат много повече от тези 500к. Йотова ще вземе 1/3 до 1/2 от тези на Костадинов, повечето от Ивелин и от Радо (въпреки че Радо призова да се гласува за Гюров) . Не излиза ППетроханската математика. Отделно , на дебата четвъртък , очаквам Йотова да изнесе лекция и да демонстрира защо Гюров не е успял да завърши магистратура, поради което беше отстранен от БНБ.
avd2
are stiga sme pisali , da izchakame prosto
voork21
няма кво да стане
Alexander05
Gyurov–Kandev campaign accuses PM Rumen Radev of violating Bulgaria’s Election Code by using official government channels and public resources to campaign for Iliana Iotova.
testitmofo
За съжаление, Йотова ще спечели. Не го искам, но там са парите. Костадинов ще се прелее в Йотова.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bulgaria Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Iliana Iotova" at 75%, followed by "Аndrey Gyurov" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bulgaria Presidential Election" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bulgaria Presidential Election," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" is "Iliana Iotova" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Аndrey Gyurov" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bulgaria Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
    Bulgaria Presidential Election Predictions & Odds 2026 | Polymarket