Recent election results have created a fragmented field for Serbia’s next prime minister. The Student List secured a parliamentary majority in the October 25 snap vote after nearly two years of protests, prompting Aleksandar Vučić’s concession and ending his long dominance. With no designated candidate from the decentralized movement, trader consensus spreads across multiple figures on its list, led by economist Dejan Šoškić. Other academics, professionals, and lower-profile names follow closely, while established politicians including Vučić hold minimal implied probability. The absence of an announced frontrunner, combined with the 90-day window for government formation after parliament convenes, sustains the even distribution of probabilities until internal selection processes and institutional transitions provide clearer signals.
Recent election results have created a fragmented field for Serbia’s next prime minister. The Student List secured a parliamentary majority in the October 25 snap vote after nearly two years of protests, prompting Aleksandar Vučić’s concession and ending his long dominance. With no designated candidate from the decentralized movement, trader consensus spreads across multiple figures on its list, led by economist Dejan Šoškić. Other academics, professionals, and lower-profile names follow closely, while established politicians including Vučić hold minimal implied probability. The absence of an announced frontrunner, combined with the 90-day window for government formation after parliament convenes, sustains the even distribution of probabilities until internal selection processes and institutional transitions provide clearer signals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Look at his interview on N1 last night, one of the speakers accidentally said that in future months, ministers will answer to him. He is groomed for this, for sure. And he has the right attitude.
Well, everything is possible, but I would exclude Bodiroga. Saicic is a strong favorite, and he is loved because of his public speaking on national TV. However, this may have been a big trap for the former government, so they don't know whom to attack. Hence, it really is possible for someone totally new to be prime minister, who is not on this list at all. However, historically, in Serbia, No. 1 on the list is always a candidate for the prime minister. And believe me, Dejan Soskic has a long and bad history with the people because he was in charge of economics during the great crisis (and he totally blew it, serbian dinar lost about 15% of its worth in one year) so, believe me, Soskic IS NOT going to be a prime minister. He is not loved, at all. Ilija is most probable outcome.
"Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dejan Šoškić" at 35%, followed by "Radomir Saičić" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" has generated $3.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is "Dejan Šoškić" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Radomir Saičić" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.
Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $3.8 million traded on “Next Prime Minister of Serbia?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.
To place your first trade on "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.
On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 35¢ for "Dejan Šoškić" in the "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 35% chance that "Dejan Šoškić" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 35¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 65¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.
The "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.
The "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" market has an active community of 170 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.
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