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Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Dejan Šoškić 34.1%

Radomir Saičić 16.6%

Ilija Srdanović 13%

Aleksandar Vučić 3.6%

Polymarket
AugSepOct0%20%40%60%80%
Source: polymarket.foo

$3,769,075 Vol.

Recent election results have created a fragmented field for Serbia’s next prime minister. The Student List secured a parliamentary majority in the October 25 snap vote after nearly two years of protests, prompting Aleksandar Vučić’s concession and ending his long dominance. With no designated candidate from the decentralized movement, trader consensus spreads across multiple figures on its list, led by economist Dejan Šoškić. Other academics, professionals, and lower-profile names follow closely, while established politicians including Vučić hold minimal implied probability. The absence of an announced frontrunner, combined with the 90-day window for government formation after parliament convenes, sustains the even distribution of probabilities until internal selection processes and institutional transitions provide clearer signals.

Volume
$3,769,075
End Date
Oct 25, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Beware of external links.

cyamski
Da li se zna ista?
Altr
Srdanovic is the first in line and Saicic will be president
Zabahudin
@Altr
Srdanovic maldimuk do ministra zdravlja.
Zabahudin
@Altr
Soskic najverovartnije ima ozbiljnost i iskustvo.
Aleksandar11030
Šoškić, even though disliked by some, will be the prime minister. Saičić will probably have other roles.
nklr
nklr
kudos to the guy who called saicic underpriced at 4.5
MRx0
@nklr
You're welcome!
MRx0
Look at his interview on N1 last night, one of the speakers accidentally said that in future months, ministers will answer to him. He is groomed for this, for sure. And he has the right attitude.
MRx0
Wow...Saicic spoke so well on N1. He will be the next prime minister, for sure.
MRx0
What the hell is wrong with you braćo? Šoškić je već rekao kada ga je SNS prozivao, DA NEĆE biti premijer. Zbog prošlosti. GROKujte malo sa AI.
MRx0
Well, everything is possible, but I would exclude Bodiroga. Saicic is a strong favorite, and he is loved because of his public speaking on national TV. However, this may have been a big trap for the former government, so they don't know whom to attack. Hence, it really is possible for someone totally new to be prime minister, who is not on this list at all. However, historically, in Serbia, No. 1 on the list is always a candidate for the prime minister. And believe me, Dejan Soskic has a long and bad history with the people because he was in charge of economics during the great crisis (and he totally blew it, serbian dinar lost about 15% of its worth in one year) so, believe me, Soskic IS NOT going to be a prime minister. He is not loved, at all. Ilija is most probable outcome.
Zabahudin
@MRx0
Soskic je ozbiljan ekonomista a srdanovicu se vidi na licu da nije covek za to.
Au braćo! Jak priča! Uživajte u dobitku! Ostalima - jebo vam p.. mater!

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dejan Šoškić" at 35%, followed by "Radomir Saičić" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" has generated $3.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" is "Dejan Šoškić" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Radomir Saičić" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
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Next Prime Minister of Serbia?Dejan Šoškić·Yes

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    Next Prime Minister of Serbia? Predictions & Odds 2026 | Polymarket