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icon for Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

$244,670 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket
President Trump possesses statutory authority under the National Emergencies Act to issue declarations addressing perceived threats such as foreign election interference. Trader positioning centers on timing relative to the November 2026 midterms, with recent administration statements emphasizing intelligence assessments of external influence operations. Key factors include prior executive actions on border security and sanctions, alongside Senate dynamics that could shape any related funding or oversight measures. The midterms themselves represent the primary near-term catalyst that could accelerate or defer such a step, while legal reviews of emergency powers and diplomatic reporting continue to inform assessments. Uncertainty persists around exact triggers and resolution criteria for the market.

Volume
$244,670
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 4:29 PM ET

Beware of external links.

symsil
Why is this not popping off?
GoodIdeaFairy
GoodIdeaFairy
Deep fucking value on Yes for Dec 31 at $0.14 right now 👏 🙌 👌
IMHO
Yes is way too overpriced right now.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 26%, followed by "July 17" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?" has generated $244.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?" is "December 31" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 17" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
icon for Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?December 31·Yes

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    Trump declares election interference national emergency b... 2026 | Polymarket